The key to winning a championship is to find value where others fail to look. Ben McAdoo recently made a statement saying Paul Perkins is the starting running back of the New York Giants. Yet, his dynasty value and ADP have not seen a significant increase. Every year, there is one overlooked player that helps propel a team to victory. This year that player is Paul Perkins.
Maximizing Value at Current ADP
According to Rotoviz Perkins has an ADP of 90.1.That makes him the RB31 off the board. You will not be able to find better value at that draft position. This high ADP is a byproduct of a strong rookie running back class. Therefore, he is being overlooked as a second year contributor. His ADP lands Perkins in the same area as Eddie Lacy, C.J Prosise, and Theo Riddick. Unlike those drafted around him Perkins has been declared a lead back, yet all of the players with similar ADP are not featured backs. Lacy, Prosise, and Rawls will be competing for touches. The same can be said about Riddick with Abdullah. However, Perkins is in the perfect position to receive touches and is clearly the best pick around his ADP. Starting NFL running backs should not last till pick 90. He is the only player who’s upside is not capped by one of his teammates. He is in full control of the Giants’ backfield.
Perkins has the ability to be an every down back. The Giants cut Rashad Jennings (losing 181 carries and 35 receptions) showing faith in Perkins to handle those 181 carries. This leaves Shane Vereen and 4th round rookie Wayne Gallman in his way. Vereen has served as a third down back for the majority of his NFL career. He has also never had a healthy NFL career. In addition to his health issues, he has never eclipsed 100 carries or 400 rushing yards in a season. Gallman, (who is older than Perkins) the 4th round rookie out of Clemson, is not yet a polished NFL running back. He has pass protection issues and has problems with his pad level. The Giants are a passing team and will not trust him in passing situations due to his poor blocking. Gallman is also below average in the passing game. Perkins’ ability to block, move the ball in the air, and the ground gives him an edge over his one demential teammates.
Paul Perkins and the Giants’ Offense
In recent seasons the New York Giants have been a predominately pass heavy offense. This will not change with the addition of Brandon Marshall and Evan Engram this summer. Due to the nature of the Giants offense Perkins will rarely see a “stacked” box giving him plenty of room to run. The Giants running game has been nearly obsolete the past three seasons, averaging 90 yards per game. This is because of Rashad Jennings lack of production (3.3YPC). In 2016 Giants had only one game where a running back rushed over 100 yards, that game belonged to Paul Perkins. Another issue with the Giants running game was the lack of rushing touchdowns. This is due to the fact they have not run the ball effectively in the red zone. Rashad Jennings’ inept ability to move the ball in the red zone had forced the Giants to abandon the running game. According to NFL.com Jennings averaged 1.9 YPC and converted 3/15 attempts into touchdowns in the red zone. On the other hand, Perkins averaged 3.9 YPC in the red zone, proving to be more efficient in yet another category than Jennings.
Rookie Season Recap
During the 2016 season Perkins totaled 456 rushing yards (4.1 YPC) and caught 15 passes for 162 yards, averaging 10.8 yards per catch. When Perkins took over the lead role from weeks 14-17 he averaged 15.5 touches per game and 4.37 YPC. Perkins is a decisive runner with the ability to make quick cuts and turn upfield. His rookie season was a steady one, putting up numbers in minimal attempts. When given a full time workload 950 rushing yards is a real possibility.
Dynasty owners cannot put to much stock into a rookie running backs first season (I.E Melvin Gordon). When assessing a dynasty player the situation, upside, and age need to be taken into account. Perkins has all of those in his favor yet, people are writing him off after one season. Which is why now is the perfect time to buy low and take advantage of dynasty owners impatience.